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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Champion Chances

Champions League 2026/27

1.0%
Champion
3.5%
Final
10.5%
Semifinals
29.3%
Quarterfinals
71.8%
Round of 16
99.0%
Playoff Spot
1.0%
Eliminated

Aston Villa face long odds for winning the title, with only a 1.0% probability.

Live: updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 72Last updated: 1 day ago

Full Probability Breakdown

Champion1.0%
Final3.5%
Semifinals10.5%
Quarterfinals29.3%
Round of 1671.8%
Playoff Spot99.0%
Eliminated1.0%

Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 9 pts).

Probability History

What This Means

At 1%, Aston Villa are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Aston Villa's probability of winning the title has held steady around 1% over the last 27 rounds.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.

Champions League 2026/27: Champion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Aston Villa stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.