Aston Villa Quarterfinals Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Aston Villa remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 25.3%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 0.8% |
| Final | 3.0% |
| Semifinals | 9.3% |
| Quarterfinals | 25.3% |
| Round of 16 | 59.5% |
| Playoff Spot | 86.2% |
| Eliminated | 13.8% |
Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 25.3%, Aston Villa are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Aston Villa's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has climbed from 9.6% to 25.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Quarterfinals odds for every team
| Bayern München | 82.3% |
| Barcelona | 76.1% |
| Inter | 69.1% |
| Manchester City | 67.5% |
| Arsenal | 58.7% |
| Manchester United | 47.7% |
| Real Madrid | 42.5% |
| Roma | 36.0% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 25.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.