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Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao Champions League Chances

La Liga 26/27

2.5%
Winner
19.0%
↓ -0.4% since last round
Champions League
6.6%
Europa League
6.5%
Conference League
8.2%
Relegation

Athletic Bilbao are an outside contender for Champions League qualification, with a 19.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 7Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner2.5%
Champions League19.0%
Europa League6.6%
Conference League6.5%
Relegation8.2%

Athletic Bilbao are currently 10th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 6 matches played (2W 2D 2L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 19%, Athletic Bilbao are currently a outside contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletic Bilbao's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Athletic Bilbao's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 22.4% to 19%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletic Bilbao achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →

View full Athletic Bilbao stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.