Athletic Club Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Athletic Club remain in realistic contention for promotion at 21.5%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 2.5% |
| Promotion | 21.5% |
| Relegation | 1.4% |
Athletic Club are currently 8th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (8W 10D 4L, 34 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 21.5%, Athletic Club are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletic Club's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Athletic Club's probability of promotion has climbed from 14.9% to 21.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletic Club achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 85.5% |
| Juventude | 61.6% |
| Vila Nova | 46.7% |
| Fortaleza | 36.9% |
| Operário-PR | 30.1% |
| Sport | 27.3% |
| Novorizontino | 24.1% |
| CRB | 17.8% |
| Goiás | 13.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.