
Avaí Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Avaí are the clear favourite for relegation with a 82.9% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 82.9% |
Avaí are currently 17th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (8W 6D 17L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 82.9%, Avaí are currently a strong contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Avaí's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Avaí's probability of relegation has climbed from 69.9% to 82.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Avaí achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.0% |
| Novorizontino | 0.0% |
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Fortaleza | 0.0% |
| Atlético-GO | 0.0% |
| Sport | 0.0% |
| CRB | 0.0% |
| Operário-PR | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.