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Barcelona

Barcelona Relegation Chances

La Liga 26/27

44.1%
Winner
82.1%
Champions League
5.1%
Europa League
3.5%
Conference League
0.1%
Relegation

Barcelona face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.1% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 7Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner44.1%
Champions League82.1%
Europa League5.1%
Conference League3.5%
Relegation0.1%

Barcelona are currently 1st in the La Liga 26/27 table with 7 matches played (7W 0D 0L, 21 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 0.1%, Barcelona are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Barcelona's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Barcelona's probability of relegation has held steady around 0.1% over the last round.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Barcelona achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →

View full Barcelona stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.