
Bayern München Semifinals Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Bayern München are strong contenders for reaching the Semifinals, sitting at 58.9%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 25.8% |
| Final | 40.1% |
| Semifinals | 58.9% |
| Quarterfinals | 82.3% |
| Round of 16 | 98.5% |
| Playoff Spot | 99.8% |
| Eliminated | 0.2% |
Bayern München are currently 1st in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 58.9%, Bayern München are currently a strong contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Bayern München's probability of reaching the Semifinals has climbed from 57% to 58.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Semifinals odds for every team
| Barcelona | 50.6% |
| Inter | 46.9% |
| Manchester City | 41.1% |
| Arsenal | 33.0% |
| Manchester United | 22.6% |
| Real Madrid | 19.8% |
| Roma | 17.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 10.2% |
| Napoli | 9.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.