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Bayern München

Bayern München Semifinals Chances

Champions League 2026/27

25.8%
Champion
40.1%
Final
58.9%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Semifinals
82.3%
Quarterfinals
98.5%
Round of 16
99.8%
Playoff Spot
0.2%
Eliminated

Bayern München are strong contenders for reaching the Semifinals, sitting at 58.9%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 25 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion25.8%
Final40.1%
Semifinals58.9%
Quarterfinals82.3%
Round of 1698.5%
Playoff Spot99.8%
Eliminated0.2%

Bayern München are currently 1st in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 58.9%, Bayern München are currently a strong contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Bayern München's probability of reaching the Semifinals has climbed from 57% to 58.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Semifinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Bayern München stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.