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Cagliari

Cagliari Europe League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

9.0%
Winner
26.3%
Champions League Groups
15.0%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Europe League Groups
6.2%
Conference League Qualifying
2.9%
Relegation

Cagliari are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 15.0% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 16 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner9.0%
Champions League Groups26.3%
Europe League Groups15.0%
Conference League Qualifying6.2%
Relegation2.9%

Cagliari are currently 4th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 0D 1L, 12 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 15%, Cagliari are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cagliari's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Cagliari's probability of Europa League qualification has climbed from 13.5% to 15%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cagliari achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Europe League Groups odds for every team

Roma14.9%
Inter15.1%
Lazio14.6%
Milan14.4%
Juventus14.5%
Frosinone14.7%
Como14.3%
Napoli11.3%
Sassuolo11.4%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Cagliari stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.