Criciúma Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Criciúma are the clear favourite for promotion with a 85.6% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 45.6% |
| Promotion | 85.6% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Criciúma are currently 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (12W 7D 3L, 43 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 85.6%, Criciúma are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Criciúma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Criciúma's probability of promotion has climbed from 76.4% to 85.6%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Criciúma achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 61.7% |
| Vila Nova | 47.1% |
| Fortaleza | 37.2% |
| Operário-PR | 30.5% |
| Sport | 27.3% |
| Novorizontino | 24.2% |
| Athletic Club | 21.6% |
| CRB | 17.9% |
| Atlético-GO | 10.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.