Criciúma Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Criciúma are the clear favourite for promotion with a 84.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 42.5% |
| Promotion | 84.9% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Criciúma are currently 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (12W 7D 3L, 43 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 84.9%, Criciúma are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Criciúma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Criciúma's probability of promotion has climbed from 76.4% to 84.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Criciúma achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 73.8% |
| Vila Nova | 46.0% |
| Fortaleza | 36.4% |
| Operário-PR | 29.5% |
| Sport | 26.7% |
| Novorizontino | 23.5% |
| Athletic Club | 21.0% |
| CRB | 17.2% |
| Atlético-GO | 9.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.