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Cuiabá

Cuiabá Promotion Chances

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B

0.2%
Winner
4.0%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Promotion
10.4%
Relegation

Cuiabá face long odds for promotion, with only a 4.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 8 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.2%
Promotion4.0%
Relegation10.4%

Cuiabá are currently 15th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (6W 11D 5L, 29 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 4%, Cuiabá are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cuiabá's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Cuiabá's probability of promotion has climbed from 2.5% to 4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cuiabá achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →

View full Cuiabá stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.