Elche Relegation Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Elche are currently 16th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 6 matches played (1W 1D 4L, 4 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 28.3%, Elche are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Elche's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Elche's probability of relegation has dropped from 39.8% to 28.3%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Elche achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →