Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Fortaleza are currently 4th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 22 matches played (10W 6D 6L, 36 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 36.4%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The top four teams in Série B earn automatic promotion. The model simulates every remaining fixture to estimate how often Fortaleza finish inside that threshold. Over the last 2 rounds, Fortaleza's probability of automatic promotion to the Brasileirão has dropped from 41.6% to 36.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →