Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026
Brasileirão Série B 2026
Fortaleza remain in realistic contention for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão at 29.9%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 29.9% |
| Relegation | 4.4% |
Fortaleza are currently 4th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 13 matches played (6W 3D 4L, 21 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 29.9%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The top four teams in Série B earn automatic promotion. The model simulates every remaining fixture to estimate how often Fortaleza finish inside that threshold.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team
| São Bernardo | 54.6% |
| Vila Nova | 54.0% |
| Sport | 46.7% |
| Novorizontino | 28.9% |
| Criciúma | 28.4% |
| Náutico | 25.4% |
| Operário-PR | 19.3% |
| Juventude | 20.1% |
| Cuiabá | 18.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.