Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Fortaleza are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 29 matches played (14W 9D 6L, 51 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 70.7%, Fortaleza are currently a strong contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The top four teams in Série B earn automatic promotion. The model simulates every remaining fixture to estimate how often Fortaleza finish inside that threshold. Over the last round, Fortaleza's probability of automatic promotion to the Brasileirão has climbed from 53.1% to 70.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →