Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026
Brasileirão Série B 2026
Fortaleza remain in realistic contention for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão at 44.7%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 44.7% |
| Relegation | 0.3% |
Fortaleza are currently 5th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 20 matches played (10W 4D 6L, 34 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 44.7%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The top four teams in Série B earn automatic promotion. The model simulates every remaining fixture to estimate how often Fortaleza finish inside that threshold.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 82.5% |
| Operário-PR | 51.0% |
| Juventude | 51.7% |
| Vila Nova | 43.7% |
| Novorizontino | 36.5% |
| Atlético-GO | 21.8% |
| CRB | 13.8% |
| Goiás | 13.6% |
| Sport | 12.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.