Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026
Brasileirão Série B 2026
Fortaleza remain in realistic contention for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão at 30.7%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 30.7% |
| Relegation | 9.7% |
Fortaleza are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 30.7%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The top four teams in Série B earn automatic promotion. The model simulates every remaining fixture to estimate how often Fortaleza finish inside that threshold.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 36.7% |
| São Bernardo | 27.7% |
| Criciúma | 27.4% |
| Juventude | 27.4% |
| Ceará | 26.2% |
| Sport | 25.8% |
| Náutico | 22.5% |
| Operário-PR | 21.7% |
| Novorizontino | 18.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.