Fortaleza Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Fortaleza face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.3% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 6.4% |
| Promotion | 36.9% |
| Relegation | 0.3% |
Fortaleza are currently 4th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (10W 6D 6L, 36 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.3%, Fortaleza are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fortaleza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Fortaleza's probability of relegation has held steady around 0.3% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.2% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.8% |
| Novorizontino | 1.1% |
| Athletic Club | 1.4% |
| CRB | 1.7% |
| Goiás | 2.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.