Náutico Promotion Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Náutico are currently 14th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 23 matches played (8W 6D 9L, 30 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 4%, Náutico are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Náutico's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Náutico's probability of promotion has climbed from 3.1% to 4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Náutico achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →