Náutico Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Náutico face long odds for promotion, with only a 0.1% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.1% |
| Relegation | 0.3% |
Náutico are currently 14th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (11W 9D 11L, 42 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.1%, Náutico are currently a long shot for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Náutico's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Náutico's probability of promotion has dropped from 0.6% to 0.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Náutico achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 90.9% |
| Juventude | 85.8% |
| Novorizontino | 64.9% |
| Criciúma | 51.4% |
| Fortaleza | 47.5% |
| Atlético-GO | 38.3% |
| CRB | 9.3% |
| Operário-PR | 6.8% |
| Sport | 2.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.