Náutico Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Náutico are an outside contender for relegation, with a 17.9% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.1% |
| Promotion | 2.2% |
| Relegation | 17.9% |
Náutico are currently 15th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (7W 6D 9L, 27 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 17.9%, Náutico are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Náutico's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Náutico's probability of relegation has held steady around 17.9% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Náutico achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.2% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.8% |
| Novorizontino | 1.1% |
| Athletic Club | 1.4% |
| CRB | 1.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.