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Brasileirão 2026·2026-09-19·Round 28

Santos Secures Safety, São Paulo Eyes Libertadores

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Santos Secures Safety, São Paulo Eyes Libertadores

In an eventful weekend of Brasileirão action, Santos fans can breathe a sigh of relief as their team has now mathematically avoided relegation. With a critical 2-1 victory over Remo, Santos saw their relegation probability drop to a mere 0.6%. Their hopes for a spot in the coveted Libertadores have also been bolstered, with their qualification chances rising to 13.7%.

São Paulo celebrated a hard-fought 1-0 win over Internacional, which significantly improved their standing in multiple races. Their risk of relegation has receded to 2.1%, and they have now entered the Libertadores Qualification race with an improved probability of 8.0%. This upward trajectory is a welcome development for São Paulo, who also saw their chances of securing a spot in the Sulamericana rise to 63.9%.

Meanwhile, Internacional's struggles continue as they face a daunting 66.5% chance of relegation following their loss. Their hopes of a Sulamericana berth have diminished significantly, now standing at just 4.2%. In contrast, Mirassol's 2-0 victory over Botafogo has slashed their relegation probability to 26.6% and slightly improved their Sulamericana prospects to 20.7%.

Vasco's emphatic 5-0 win against Coritiba was another highlight of the round, reducing their relegation probability to a much more comfortable 22.5%. This victory has also increased their chances of achieving a Sulamericana spot, now at 25.4%. With only ten rounds remaining in the season, all eyes will be on these teams as they battle for critical positions and avoid the drop.

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