
Novorizontino#4 · 21 pts's 2-1 victory over Ceará has altered their championship trajectory, raising their probability of winning the title from 4.8% to 6.5%. This win also boosted their promotion chances by 6.1%, now standing at 27.5%, while reducing their relegation probability from 13.2% to 8.1%. Conversely, Ceará's prospects have dimmed, with their promotion probability dropping to 14.9%, and their relegation likelihood increasing to 17.5%.
Fortaleza#6 · 21 pts's decisive 3-0 win against Londrina#17 · 11 pts has significantly improved their promotion outlook by 8.3%, now at 39.0%. Their relegation chances have also been reduced from 7.9% to 4.4%. Londrina#17 · 11 pts, on the other hand, saw their promotion hopes diminish to 4.3%, while their risk of relegation increased to 42.4%, marking a 7.1% rise.
Sport#3 · 24 pts's narrow 1-0 victory over Juventude#8 · 19 pts has solidified their position, boosting their promotion probability by 8.5% to 44.4% and reducing their relegation risk to 3.2%. Juventude#8 · 19 pts's chances of promotion fell to 14.8%, while their relegation probability increased by 4.2% to 17.7%.
Looking ahead, the upcoming matches will be critical for teams like Londrina#17 · 11 pts and Ceará as they attempt to reverse their recent downward trends. Meanwhile, Novorizontino#4 · 21 pts, Fortaleza#6 · 21 pts, and Sport#3 · 24 pts will aim to build on their positive momentum in the coming rounds.