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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-08-15·Round 22

Criciúma and Vila Nova Shine While Ceará Faces Relegation Woes

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Criciúma and Vila Nova Shine While Ceará Faces Relegation Woes

The latest round of Serie B action has seen some significant shifts in promotion probabilities, with Criciúma and Vila Nova emerging as key winners. Criciúma's narrow 1-0 victory over Goiás has bolstered their chances of winning the championship to an impressive 44.3%, a healthy 11% increase. Their promotion prospects also look bright, now sitting at 84.9%, up by 9.6%. This result solidifies Criciúma's position at the top of the standings with 43 points, maintaining a slender lead over Juventude.

Vila Nova, meanwhile, secured a decisive 2-0 win against Atlético-GO, propelling them into third place. This victory has significantly boosted their promotion probability by 12.3%, bringing it to a robust 45.8%. The win highlights Vila Nova's upward trajectory as they continue to challenge for a top spot in the league.

On the other end of the spectrum, Ceará's 3-1 defeat to Cuiabá has exacerbated their relegation concerns. Their chances of facing the drop have increased by 7.5%, now at a troubling 29.1%. This loss has also seen them fall to 16th place in the standings, intensifying the pressure to secure more points in the remaining matches to avoid relegation.

As the competition heats up, the coming rounds will be crucial for teams like Fortaleza, who are witnessing a decline in their promotion chances, now down to 36.1%. With the season progressing, every match holds pivotal importance as teams battle for promotion and fight against the threat of relegation. Keep an eye on Criciúma and Vila Nova as they push for the top, and watch if Ceará can turn their fortunes around.

Live probability analysis

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