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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-08-20·Round 23

CRB Secures Vital Win, Novorizontino's Promotion Hopes Surge

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

CRB Secures Vital Win, Novorizontino's Promotion Hopes Surge

CRB's 2-0 victory over Athletic Club has led to a notable shift in the Serie B standings and probabilities. CRB's chances of avoiding relegation improved significantly, dropping from 2.0% to 0.7%, while their promotion probability rose by 8.0% to 25.8%. Meanwhile, Athletic Club saw a decline in their promotion probability from 21.5% to 13.4%, and a slight decrease in their chances of winning the league from 2.4% to 1.2%.

Novorizontino's commanding 3-0 win over América-MG has further boosted their standing. Their probability of winning the league increased by 2.0% to 5.1% and their promotion chances jumped by 9.5% to 33.7%. Novorizontino now sits fourth in the standings, tied on points with Fortaleza but ahead on goal difference. América-MG remains in a dire situation, with their relegation probability extremely high at 98.8%.

The standings now see CRB rising from ninth to sixth, while Athletic Club has dropped from seventh to ninth. Novorizontino's recent form has been reflected in a 10.2% increase in their promotion probability over the last two rounds. Meanwhile, Operário-PR's promotion prospects continue to dwindle, falling 18.9% over four rounds to 20.4%.

With the league entering its crucial stages, the upcoming matches will be decisive for teams like CRB and Novorizontino, who are pushing for promotion, while teams like América-MG face a battle against relegation.

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