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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-09-20·Round 29

Fortaleza's Promotion Odds Skyrocket

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Fortaleza's Promotion Odds Skyrocket

Fortaleza's recent victory over Londrina, with a 2-1 scoreline, significantly increased their promotion odds, moving from 54.3% to an impressive 70.7%. This result also improved their chances of winning the league from 13.6% to 21.9%. This performance propels Fortaleza to second place in the standings, tied in points with Vila Nova, who lead on goal difference.

CRB's defeat against Ponte Preta resulted in a decrease in their promotion probability from 28.7% to 17.1%. Their chances of winning the league also dropped from 4.1% to 1.6%. This loss saw CRB drop from sixth to eighth place in the standings, impacting their aspirations for the top spots.

Avaí's loss to Goiás has increased their relegation probability from 54.5% to 62.4%, putting them in a precarious position near the bottom of the table. In contrast, Goiás's win has helped them climb in the standings from 12th to 10th and reduced their relegation risk from 1.3% to 0.1%, marking a significant improvement in their outlook.

As the competition intensifies with only nine rounds remaining, all eyes will be on Fortaleza to see if they can maintain their upward trajectory and secure promotion.

Live probability analysis

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