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Copa do Brasil 2026·2026-09-01·Round 18

Atlético-MG Secures Victory in a Classic Showdown

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Match Report

Atlético-MG Secures Victory in a Classic Showdown

In a thrilling Minas Gerais derby, Atlético-MG emerged victorious over Cruzeiro with a 2-1 win on September 1, 2026. This significant triumph in Round 32 not only bolsters Atlético-MG's position but also shakes up the championship probabilities for both teams involved.

Before the match, Cruzeiro held a slight edge in their Copa do Brasil odds, with a 27.5% chance of reaching the finals and a 14.0% probability of claiming the trophy. However, the loss to Atlético-MG has seen a dip in their chances. Now, Cruzeiro's likelihood of making it to the finals stands at 25.7%, with their winner probability slightly down to 12.9%. This drop illustrates the impact of the derby loss, as Cruzeiro also sees a reduction in their semifinal and quarterfinal probabilities.

On the other side, Atlético-MG's victory reaffirms their competitive edge. Although their pre-match probabilities had them slightly behind Cruzeiro, this win serves as a morale booster and a reminder of their potential to make significant strides in the competition. With both teams already assured of a Round of 16 spot, the focus now shifts to how they will navigate the knockout stages.

As the Copa do Brasil progresses, Atlético-MG and Cruzeiro will look to capitalize on their opportunities in upcoming matches. Keep an eye on Atlético-MG as they seek to maintain momentum, and watch how Cruzeiro responds to this setback in their quest to climb back up the championship ladder.

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