Bundesliga 25/26·2026-02-28

Bundesliga Relegation Battle Heats Up: FC Köln Joins the Fray

· Round-up

In the latest shake-up of the Bundesliga relegation stakes, FC Köln has seen its championship probabilities surge from 4.3% to 9.2%, marking a notable entry into the relegation race. As the season approaches its climax, the pressure is mounting for teams at the bottom of the table, and Köln's recent struggles have put them firmly in the spotlight.

Meanwhile, SV Werder Bremen's fortunes have taken a significant hit, dropping 14.1% to now sit at a concerning 25.4% probability of relegation. In contrast, VfL Wolfsburg has made a surprising leap, increasing their relegation probability by 12.8% to 34.1%, indicating that they too are at risk as the season progresses. FC Heidenheim is dominating the relegation conversation with a staggering 90.5% chance, making them nearly certain to drop out of the top tier.

Elsewhere in the league, Bayer Leverkusen's European ambitions have also seen a shift, with their Champions League probabilities rising to 31.8% after a recent +6.8% increase. However, their chances of qualifying for the Conference League have dropped by 5.0% over the last three rounds, now standing at 28.5%. As the battle for survival and European qualification intensifies, fans can expect a thrilling next round filled with high stakes and nerve-wracking performances.