Bundesliga 25/26·2026-03-07

Borussia Dortmund Closes on Champions League, Hoffenheim Eyes Top Four

· Round-up

After an electrifying weekend of Bundesliga action, Borussia Dortmund has nearly cemented their place in next season's Champions League with an impressive 99.4% probability. Their recent 2-1 victory over FC Köln was crucial, maintaining their second-place standing with 55 points. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim's thrilling 4-2 triumph against FC Heidenheim has boosted their Champions League hopes, now standing at 82.8%. This win not only solidifies their third-place position but also casts a bright light on their potential to secure a top-four finish as they continue to chase the European dream.

Elsewhere in the league, Bayer Leverkusen's 3-3 draw with SC Freiburg has significantly bolstered their Conference League prospects, now at a strong 45.4%. However, their chances for the Champions League have taken a hit, dropping to 15.6%. Leverkusen remains in the hunt for European competition, but they will need to capitalize on upcoming fixtures to improve their standing.

On the other end of the spectrum, VfL Wolfsburg's 2-1 defeat to Hamburger SV has dealt a blow to their survival hopes, with their relegation probability climbing to 51.9%. SC Freiburg, too, faces dwindling European dreams, as their chance to qualify for the Europa League has sharply decreased to a mere 0.6%.

As the Bundesliga season progresses, the battles for European qualification and relegation avoidance are heating up. With several crucial matches on the horizon, teams will need to fight fiercely to secure their desired outcomes. Keep an eye on the upcoming fixtures as the league enters its decisive phase.