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La Liga 25/26·2026-04-04

Real Madrid's Title Hopes Revived; Mallorca's Survival Battle Intensifies

· Round-up

Real Madrid's Title Hopes Revived; Mallorca's Survival Battle Intensifies

In a dramatic turn of events in La Liga's 30th round, Real Madrid suffered a surprising 2-1 defeat to Mallorca, shaking up the title race. Despite the loss, Real Madrid have re-entered the title contention, with their chances climbing from 1.9% to 7.8%. Their slip-up allowed Barcelona to extend their lead at the top, as they secured a 2-1 victory over Atlético de Madrid. Barcelona now has a commanding 92.1% chance of clinching the title, despite a slight decrease from previously higher odds.

Mallorca's victory, while thrilling, comes with mixed emotions. The win momentarily lifted their spirits, but their relegation probability spiked sharply from 11.5% to 29.0%. This puts them in a precarious position as they fight to avoid dropping into the lower tier. Meanwhile, Alavés experienced a significant relief in their relegation fears, witnessing a massive decrease in their chances from 49.4% to 17.0% over the past two rounds, thanks to recent results.

Elsewhere, Betis managed a goalless draw against Espanyol but saw their Europa League chances slip slightly to 52.7%, while Espanyol entered the Conference League race with a modest 5.1% chance. Athletic Bilbao also joined the Conference League race with a 9.1% chance, showing that the battle for European spots remains fiercely competitive.

As the season progresses, Real Madrid will look to regain momentum to keep their title dreams alive, while Mallorca must focus on securing vital points to steer clear of relegation. Fans should keep an eye on the upcoming fixtures as every game becomes crucial in this heated race to the finish.