In a decisive weekend for La Liga, Barcelona#1 · 91 pts continued their dominant run towards the championship, defeating Getafe#7 · 45 pts 2-0 and inching closer to securing the title with a 99.7% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Atlético de Madrid#4 · 63 pts's thrilling 3-2 victory over Athletic Bilbao#8 · 44 pts ensured their place in next season's Champions League, with their qualification probability now at a commanding 99.7%.
The latest results have been less favorable for Athletic Bilbao#8 · 44 pts, who, after their loss, are out of the Europa League contention with their chances dwindling from 1.3% to a mere 0.3%. Additionally, Bilbao#8 · 44 pts's hopes of making it to the Conference League have also decreased from 6.9% to 3.7%. On the other hand, Valencia#12 · 42 pts's 2-1 win against Girona#16 · 38 pts has seen their relegation fears fade, with their probability dropping significantly from 12.5% to 3.2%.
In the relegation battle, Mallorca#13 · 39 pts's defeat against Alavés#18 · 36 pts resulted in a worrying increase in their relegation probability, now at 34.7%, up by 14.8%. Conversely, Alavés#18 · 36 pts’ victory has been crucial in reducing their chances of relegation by 20.3%, bringing it down to 23.8%. As the season nears its conclusion, teams are feeling the pressure, with potential shifts in standings to watch closely in the upcoming rounds.