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Serie A 25/26·2026-04-11

Round 32: The Games That Define the Title Race

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Round 32: The Games That Define the Title Race

In a gripping weekend of Serie A action, Juventus catapulted their Champions League qualification hopes following a crucial 1-0 victory over Atalanta, significantly boosting their chances of securing a spot in Europe's elite competition. Juventus now boasts an 83.3% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, up an impressive 18% from the previous round, solidifying their position as serious contenders for a top-four finish.

Meanwhile, Milan's unexpected 3-0 defeat at the hands of Udinese has dealt a severe blow to their championship aspirations. Once clinging to a slim 1.8% chance of winning the title, Milan's hopes have now dwindled to a mere 0.6%. However, their prospects of competing in European tournaments remain robust, with their probability for the Champions League still high at 96.6%, and a notable rise in their Europa League chances, now at 12%.

Atalanta, on the other hand, suffered a double setback with their loss to Juventus. Their chances of securing a Champions League spot have plummeted to 5.9%, down 9.9% from the last round, while their Europa League hopes also took a hit, falling to 4.5%.

In the relegation battle, Cagliari's 1-0 win over Cremonese has significantly improved their survival prospects, decreasing their relegation probability to just 2.1%. Conversely, Cremonese's loss has heightened their relegation fears, with their chances now surging to 54.4%.

As the Serie A season approaches its climax, the focus will be on whether Juventus can maintain their upward trajectory and secure a Champions League berth, while Milan will be eager to bounce back in the next round to solidify their position among Europe's elite.

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