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Serie B 25/26·2026-04-10·Round 34

Monza vs Bari Could Change the Promotion Race (4% Swing)

· Match Report

Monza vs Bari Could Change the Promotion Race (4% Swing)

Frosinone and Palermo played out a 1-1 draw on April 10, 2026, in a crucial Serie B encounter that left both teams with mixed feelings as they vie for promotion. Frosinone, sitting comfortably in second place, saw their chances of winning the league slightly dip from 17.4% to 14.1% after failing to secure all three points against their direct rivals. However, their promotion prospects remain robust at 68.2% before the match, with no immediate threat of dropping to the playout zone.

Palermo, meanwhile, saw their playoff prospects improve significantly, now boasting a 91.9% chance of securing a playoff spot, up from 87.6%. Yet, the draw also meant a setback in their direct promotion ambitions, with their probability of being promoted shrinking from 12.4% to 8.1%. Despite these odds, Palermo remains in contention with 65 points, just four points behind Frosinone, with four matches left in the season.

The match outcome further solidified Venezia's hold at the top of the table, with their chances of winning the league surging to 79.0% following Frosinone's slip. Monza is also in the mix, seeing an increase in their promotion hopes to 28.1%, capitalizing on the draw between Frosinone and Palermo.

With the promotion race heating up, all eyes will turn to the upcoming fixtures as each team tries to secure their spot in Serie A. Frosinone will aim to regain momentum, while Palermo will continue to push for a direct promotion or at least a strong position in the playoffs. The next few rounds promise thrilling action as the Serie B season races to its conclusion.