Serie B 25/26·2026-03-04

Palermo Rises as Empoli Fades in Serie B Drama

· Round-up

In a thrilling round of Serie B action, Palermo's 2-1 victory over Mantova has significantly bolstered their chances in the promotion race. The Sicilian side has now entered the winner's race with their probability jumping from 3.1% to 5.5%. This victory not only strengthens their position in the standings but also increases their promotion likelihood to 19.9%, while keeping their playoff chances robust at 80.1%. Meanwhile, Frosinone's 2-2 draw against Pescara, although keeping them third, has seen their promotion probability slide over recent rounds, now standing at 24.2%.

Elsewhere, Empoli's 2-1 defeat to Bari has seen their prospects take a nosedive. Their chances of making the playoffs have dwindled significantly from 8.7% to a mere 4.0%. The loss has also pushed them further into the relegation mix, with their playout and relegation probabilities climbing to 14.1% and 8.2%, respectively. Bari, on the other hand, despite the victory, remains in a precarious position with their relegation probability now at 30.8%.

In the relegation battle, Mantova's defeat has them teetering closer to the edge, their relegation probability surging to 42.7%. Pescara continues to struggle at the bottom, with their relegation chances now a daunting 85.7%.

As the competition heats up, all eyes will be on the next round to see if Palermo can continue their ascent and if Empoli can reverse their downward trend. The relegation battle remains fierce, with every game potentially altering the fate of those at the bottom.