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Serie B 25/26·2026-04-12

Frosinone Surge to 56% Promotion Probability

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Frosinone Surge to 56% Promotion Probability

In a dramatic twist, Reggiana breathed new life into their Serie B campaign with a crucial 2-0 victory over Carrarese, significantly reducing their relegation odds from a daunting 78.5% to a more manageable 56.8%. This win not only propelled them further away from the automatic drop zone but also increased their chances of facing a playout scenario, now at 31.2%. Meanwhile, Spezia's situation grew more dire after a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Mantova left their relegation probability soaring to an alarming 91.2%.

Padova also made significant strides towards safety with a narrow 1-0 win over Empoli, slashing their relegation chances from 17.9% to just 6.3%. This victory has also lowered their playout probability to 21.6%, providing a welcome relief for their fans. On the other hand, Empoli's defeat has pulled them into the relegation conversation, with their chances of facing the drop increasing to 9.6% and their playout probability rising to 29.2%.

Elsewhere, Mantova's victory not only removed them from the relegation race but also reduced their playout chances to a mere 2.1%. Meanwhile, the playoff race is heating up, with Cesena's playoff qualification probability climbing to 53.2% and Sampdoria entering the picture with a slight increase in their chances to 5.8%.

With just four rounds remaining, the battle for survival and playoff positions is intensifying. Teams like Reggiana will look to build on their momentum, while Spezia must fight to overturn their grim prospects. As the season reaches its climax, every point will be crucial in determining who stays, who faces the dreaded drop, and who earns a shot at promotion glory.

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Frosinone Surge to 56% Promotion Probability – April 2026 | CupChances