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Serie B 25/26·2026-04-19

Monza Surge to 44% Promotion Probability

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Monza Surge to 44% Promotion Probability

In a dramatic turn of events during Round 35 of Serie B, Padova's narrow 1-0 victory over Reggiana has all but secured their stay in the league, effectively eliminating any significant threat of relegation. With their chances of relegation plummeting to a negligible 0.1%, Padova can breathe a sigh of relief. Their playout probability also dropped significantly by 13.4% to 5.8%, indicating a much safer position as the season nears its end.

In stark contrast, Reggiana's situation has become dire. Their defeat has seen their relegation probability skyrocket by 19.0%, now standing at a concerning 76.2%. This loss, coupled with a decreased chance of entering the playouts, now at 20.3%, leaves Reggiana in a precarious position with only three matches left to play.

Elsewhere, Empoli and Virtus Entella's 1-1 draw had mixed implications. Empoli's playout probability rose to 29.5%, while Virtus Entella saw a significant increase in their likelihood of entering the playouts, now at 45.9%. Carrarese and Pescara's 2-2 draw meant little change in their standings, though Carrarese's chances of making the playoffs have slightly decreased to 31.3%.

As the season heads into its final rounds, all eyes will be on the bottom of the table where Reggiana fights to avoid relegation, and teams like Empoli and Virtus Entella aim to steer clear of playout danger.

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