Premier League 25/26·2026-03-21

Aston Villa Charges Up, Burnley Faces the Drop

· Round-up

Aston Villa Charges Up, Burnley Faces the Drop

In a thrilling weekend of Premier League action, Aston Villa's chances of securing a Champions League spot received a significant boost. Following Liverpool's 2-1 defeat to Brighton and Chelsea's dismal 3-0 loss to Everton, Aston Villa now sees its Champions League qualification probability rise to a solid 59%, an 8.1% increase from the previous round. Meanwhile, Manchester United has further solidified their top-four ambitions with a positive shift to 88.2% for Champions League qualification.

On the other end of the spectrum, Burnley is all but confirmed for relegation, with their probability now standing at a staggering 99.5%. A 3-1 defeat to Fulham compounded their woes, leaving them floundering at the bottom of the table. Everton, however, is emerging as a dark horse for European competition. Their emphatic victory over Chelsea has propelled them into the Europa League race, with their chances now at 8.9%, up from 3.9% before the match.

Liverpool and Chelsea are reeling from their respective losses. Liverpool's chances of making the Champions League have dropped by 8.2%, now standing at 23.7%, while Chelsea's Champions League hopes also took a hit, dropping to 16.7%. Both teams will need to rebound quickly to keep their European dreams alive.

As the Premier League enters its final stretch, all eyes will be on the race for European spots. Aston Villa will look to cement their position, while Everton aims to continue their late surge. Meanwhile, Liverpool and Chelsea have crucial games ahead to regain momentum for a top-four finish.