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Premier League 25/26·2026-04-11

Round 32: The Games That Define the Title Race

· Round-up

Round 32: The Games That Define the Title Race

In a thrilling Premier League weekend, Liverpool's victory over Fulham has significantly boosted their Champions League hopes. The Reds' 2-0 win at Anfield has seen their probability of securing a top-four finish leap to 29.7%, a remarkable increase of 11.3%. This outcome, coupled with Aston Villa's dip in their Champions League chances to 70.3%, opens up the race for European football next season.

The weekend also saw Arsenal suffer a shock 2-1 defeat at home to Bournemouth, slightly denting their title-winning probability, which now stands at 91.4%. Manchester City, who did not play this round, benefited from Arsenal's slip, with their title hopes edging up to 8.6%. Meanwhile, Brentford and Everton's 2-2 draw did little to enhance their European prospects, with both teams seeing a drop in their Europa League chances, now at 5.5% and 5.3%, respectively.

Brighton capitalized on their visit to Burnley, securing a 2-0 win and maintaining their mid-table status. However, it was a disappointing weekend for Fulham, whose Europa League hopes are all but dashed, falling to a mere 0.7% after their defeat. This result effectively ends their European ambitions for the season.

Looking forward, all eyes will be on Manchester City's upcoming matches as they attempt to close the gap on Arsenal, and on Liverpool as they continue their push for a coveted Champions League spot.