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Championship 25/26·2026-04-28·Round 40

Middlesbrough vs Watford Could Reshape the Playoff Spots Battle (4%…

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Middlesbrough vs Watford Could Reshape the Playoff Spots Battle (4%…

Southampton's 2-2 draw against Ipswich Town on April 28 has solidified their position in the playoffs, with their chances now virtually certain at 99.9%, up from 96.6%. However, the result has mathematically eliminated them from direct promotion contention, as their promotion probability has fallen from 3.4% to 0.0%. Southampton remains in fifth place with 77 points, making the playoffs their only path forward.

Ipswich Town, sitting second in the standings with 81 points, saw a slight decrease in their promotion probability, now at 70.4%, down from 72.7%. Despite the drop, Ipswich maintains a strong position to secure automatic promotion, though their playoff likelihood has increased marginally to 29.6% from 27.3%.

Millwall's playoff chances have declined by 5.6%, now at 77.8%, although their promotion prospects have improved by the same margin, reaching 22.2%. As a result, Millwall remains a strong contender for a promotion spot, closely trailing Ipswich in third place with 80 points.

With only one round remaining, the focus will shift to the final matchday, where the competition for promotion and playoff positions will reach its climax. Southampton aims to capitalize on their playoff position, while Ipswich will look to secure automatic promotion in their final fixture.

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Championship 25/26 Match Report: Middlesbrough vs Watford Could Reshape the Playoff Spots Battle (4%… (April 2026) | CupChances