Championship 25/26·2026-02-28

Shifting Odds: Birmingham and Wrexham Surge as Coventry and Middlesbrough Stumble

· Round-up

In a dramatic turn of events in the Championship race, Birmingham City and Wrexham have made significant strides, with both teams entering the promotion race with boosted probabilities of 8.3%. Birmingham's chances soared from a mere 0.4% to a more promising spot, while Wrexham's rise from 1.5% also highlights their newfound competitive edge, now accompanied by a 12.5% chance of relegation. Meanwhile, West Bromwich Albion has seen a similar upward trajectory, entering both the playoff and promotion races with probabilities of 16.7% and 8.3%, respectively.

Conversely, Coventry City and Middlesbrough have experienced severe declines. Coventry's once-dominant position has plummeted, going from a commanding 69.9% chance of winning to just 4.2%, while also entering the relegation race at a concerning 12.5%. Middlesbrough's fall from grace has been stark, dropping from a 21.9% chance of winning to only 4.2%. These shifts have left them in a precarious position, now facing the threat of relegation at a 12.5% likelihood.

As we look ahead, the race intensifies with teams like Sheffield United and Swansea City also entering the playoff discussions. The next rounds will be critical as clubs battle not only for promotion but also to avoid the specter of relegation.