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Championship 25/26·2026-04-21

Millwall Surge to 40% Promotion Probability

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Millwall Surge to 40% Promotion Probability

In a dramatic turn of events in the Championship, Millwall's recent victory over Stoke City has significantly bolstered their promotion prospects. After defeating Stoke 3-1, Millwall's chances of promotion have surged to 40.4%, marking a remarkable gain of 30.1% over the last three rounds. Their playoff probability, however, has seen a slight dip to 59.6%. Currently sitting in second place with 79 points, Millwall is well-positioned for a strong finish, with just two matches left in the season.

Meanwhile, Leicester City is teetering on the brink of relegation. Their 2-2 draw against Hull City has almost cemented their fall from the Championship, with their relegation probability soaring to 99.9%. This would be a significant setback for the Foxes, compounded by a six-point deduction earlier this season for breaching Financial Sustainability Rules.

Elsewhere, Wrexham's playoff hopes have been given a substantial boost following their narrow 1-0 victory over Oxford United, with playoff probability climbing to 57.4%. On the flipside, Oxford United's relegation prospects have increased to 96.3%, leaving them in a precarious position as the season nears its conclusion.

With just one round remaining, the focus will be on whether Millwall can secure automatic promotion and if Leicester City can pull off a miraculous escape from relegation. Meanwhile, the battle for the playoff spots remains fiercely contested, promising an exciting finish to the Championship season.

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