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Championship 26/27·2026-09-02·Round 4

QPR's Promotion Odds Surge as Wrexham Avoids Relegation

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

QPR's Promotion Odds Surge as Wrexham Avoids Relegation

Following a 2-1 victory over Cardiff, Queens Park Rangers' promotion probability has experienced a significant increase. Their chances of being promoted now stand at 66.7%, a remarkable rise from 22.4%. This leap in probability also coincides with their improvement in the winner race, climbing from 7.9% to 29.6%. Meanwhile, Cardiff has been mathematically eliminated from the playoff race, dropping from a 5.1% probability to 0.0%.

In other developments, Wrexham secured a decisive 3-0 win over Millwall. This victory has effectively eliminated their relegation risk, reducing it from 23.6% to 0.0%, while also introducing them into the playoff race, now at 5.1%. Meanwhile, Millwall's chances of reaching the playoffs have suffered, falling from 42.1% to 19.0%. Their hopes for winning or promotion have also vanished.

West Bromwich Albion and Charlton Athletic drew 1-1, resulting in both teams experiencing shifts in their championship probabilities. West Bromwich Albion is now out of the winner and promotion races, while Charlton Athletic's probability of winning has decreased from 40.6% to 18.5%. Middlesbrough's hopes were also dashed as they drew 1-1 with Burnley, resulting in their exit from both the winner and promotion races.

As the league progresses, attention will be on Swansea City's continued rise, as their promotion chances have dramatically increased to 81.5% over the last two rounds.

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