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Newcastle UCL Chances 2027 — 22.0%

Premier League 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #9 · 5 MP

Newcastle Premier League 26/27 — Key Insights
4.7%
Win
8.5%
Releg
#9
Position
DWDLW
Last 5 matches
Newcastle are in realistic contention for UCL at 22.0%, currently ranked 9th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Newcastle are 9th in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 22.0% chance of ucl — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Newcastle have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Newcastle's win chance currently stands at 4.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Newcastle's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 4.7%
  • UCL: 22.0%
  • UEL: 6.0%
  • Releg: 8.5%

More analysis

← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Coventry City#18Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.8%UEL: 2.8%Releg: 28.8%7:00 PMNewcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%
1%
95%
Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%4:30 PMAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.7%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.0%
75%
10%
Crystal Palace#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 9.0%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.1%2:00 PMNewcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%
32%
40%
Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%8:00 PMEverton#7Win: 6.2%UCL: 26.9%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%
75%
10%
Fulham#19Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.6%UEL: 2.4%Releg: 31.4%3:00 PMNewcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%
14%
65%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-19Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%2 - 1Hull City#8Win: 4.8%UCL: 22.4%UEL: 6.2%Releg: 8.4%
2026-09-14Leeds United#5Win: 6.4%UCL: 27.8%UEL: 6.7%Releg: 6.3%4 - 1Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%
2026-09-05Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%2 - 2Bournemouth#17Win: 1.0%UCL: 7.1%UEL: 2.8%Releg: 26.2%
2026-08-29Tottenham#20Win: 0.6%UCL: 5.2%UEL: 2.3%Releg: 33.3%0 - 2Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%
2026-08-23Newcastle#9Win: 4.7%UCL: 22.0%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.5%2 - 2Liverpool#6Win: 6.1%UCL: 27.3%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.3%