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Newcastle Relegation Chances 2026 — 0.1%

Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #14 · 34 MP

Newcastle Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.1%
Relegation
#14
Position
WLLLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Newcastle are 14th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 0.1% chance of relegation — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Newcastle have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Newcastle's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-12-14
  • Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-12
  • Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-18
  • Relegation: 0.1%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2:00 PMBrighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%
49%
28%
Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%1:00 PMNewcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
36%
40%
Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%6:00 PMWest Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
49%
28%
Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%3:00 PMNewcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
49%
24%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%1 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-18Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%1 - 2Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%
2026-04-12Crystal Palace#132 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-22Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%1 - 2Sunderland#12
2026-03-14Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%0 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-04Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 1Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%
2026-02-28Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 3Everton#11
2026-02-21Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-02-10Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%1 - 2Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-02-07Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 3Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%
2026-01-31Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%4 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-01-25Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%0 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%
2026-01-18Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%0 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-01-07Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%4 - 3Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%
2026-01-04Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 0Crystal Palace#13
2025-12-30Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%1 - 3Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-12-26Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%1 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-12-20Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 2Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-14Sunderland#121 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-12-06Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 1Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%
2025-12-02Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 2Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%
2025-11-29Everton#111 - 4Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-11-22Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 1Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-11-09Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%3 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-11-02West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%3 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-10-25Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 1Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%
2025-10-18Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%2 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-10-05Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 0Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%
2025-09-28Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%1 - 2Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-09-21Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%0 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-09-13Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%1 - 0Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%
2025-08-30Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%0 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2025-08-25Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 3Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-08-16Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%0 - 0Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%