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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Relegation Chances

La Liga 26/27

1.6%
Winner
13.4%
Champions League
5.1%
Europa League
5.6%
Conference League
12.0%
↑ +0.3% since last round
Relegation

Rayo Vallecano are an outside contender for relegation, with a 12.0% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 7Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner1.6%
Champions League13.4%
Europa League5.1%
Conference League5.6%
Relegation12.0%

Rayo Vallecano are currently 9th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 6 matches played (2W 2D 2L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 12%, Rayo Vallecano are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Rayo Vallecano's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Rayo Vallecano's probability of relegation has held steady around 12% over the last round.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Rayo Vallecano achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →

View full Rayo Vallecano stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.