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Roma

Roma Quarterfinals Chances

Champions League 2026/27

3.1%
Champion
7.8%
Final
17.6%
Semifinals
36.0%
Quarterfinals
68.7%
Round of 16
88.0%
Playoff Spot
12.0%
Eliminated

Roma remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 36.0%.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 9 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion3.1%
Final7.8%
Semifinals17.6%
Quarterfinals36.0%
Round of 1668.7%
Playoff Spot88.0%
Eliminated12.0%

Roma are currently 8th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 1 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 36%, Roma are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Roma's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has dropped from 40.7% to 36%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Quarterfinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Roma stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.