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São Paulo

São Paulo Reaches Semifinals Chances

Copa Sul-Americana 2026

20.7%
Winner
53.2%
Reaches Final
81.9%
↓ -12.6% since last round
Reaches Semifinals

São Paulo are the clear favourite for reaching the Semifinals with a 81.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 1Last updated: 2 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner20.7%
Reaches Final53.2%
Reaches Semifinals81.9%

São Paulo are currently 3rd in the Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 81.9%, São Paulo are currently a strong contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, São Paulo's probability of reaching the Semifinals has dropped from 94.5% to 81.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Reaches Semifinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Sul-Americana 2026 table →

View full São Paulo stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.