Vasco
Vasco Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 54.0%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 32 of 38 · Rank #14 · 31 MP
Vasco Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
3.4%
Releg
#14
Position
WWDLW
Last 5 matches
Vasco are strong contenders for Sulamericana at 54.0%, currently ranked 14th — updated after every match.
Updated at
Vasco are 14th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 31 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 54.0% chance of sulamericana — with 6 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vasco have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vasco's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-10
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%
- Sulamericana: 54.0%
- Releg: 3.4%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Athletico-PR#4Libertadores: 65.9%Pre-Libertadores: 29.2%Sulamericana: 4.9%
10:30 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%
10:30 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%53%
21%
Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%3:00 PM
Internacional#16Sulamericana: 9.8%Releg: 35.1%
3:00 PMInternacional#16Sulamericana: 9.8%Releg: 35.1%46%
26%
Bragantino#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 75.6%Releg: 0.5%
3:00 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%
3:00 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%48%
25%
Atlético-MG#6Libertadores: 28.9%Pre-Libertadores: 43.9%Sulamericana: 27.2%
3:00 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%
3:00 PMVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4%54%
20%
Latest News
Probabilities Shift as Palmeiras Strengthens Title Bid
Round-up2026-10-24
Palmeiras' probability of winning the Brasileirão increased from 38.5% to 51.5% following their 2–0 victory over Bragantino. This result, coupled with Flamengo'…
Atlético-MG Advances Despite Defeat in Second Leg
Match Report2026-10-21
Atlético-MG has advanced to the final of the Copa Sul-Americana 2026, despite a 2-0 defeat to Montevideo City Torque in the second leg of their semifinal tie. T…
Semifinals Showdown: Vasco vs Boca Juniors and Montevideo City Torque vs Atlético-MG
Knockout Preview2026-10-19
As the semifinals of this thrilling tournament reach their second leg, the stakes couldn't be higher. Two teams will move one step closer to glory, while two ot…
Semifinals — Leg 1
Knockout Preview2026-10-12
Boca Juniors face Vasco on October 13, 2026, in the first leg of their semifinal clash. The advancement probabilities are finely balanced: Boca Juniors sit at 4…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 |  | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 3 - 2 |  Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 3.0%Releg: 60.7% |
| 2026-10-20 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 3 | Boca Juniors | |
| 2026-10-17 | | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-10-13 | Boca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | |
| 2026-10-10 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 0 |  Remo#19Releg: 99.4% |
| 2026-10-07 | | Botafogo#11Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 47.3%Releg: 3.5% | 1 - 2 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-09-19 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 5 - 0 |  Coritiba#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 60.3%Releg: 2.8% |
| 2026-09-15 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 0 | Santa Fe | |
| 2026-09-12 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 2.1%Releg: 71.4% | 1 - 2 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-09-08 | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Fluminense#5Libertadores: 24.1%Pre-Libertadores: 48.3%Sulamericana: 27.6% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-09-02 |  | Vitória#13Sulamericana: 34.5%Releg: 8.0% | 0 - 2 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-08-29 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 3 - 1 |  Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 66.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.8%Sulamericana: 6.3% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 0 | Vitória#13Sulamericana: 34.5%Releg: 8.0% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Palmeiras#1Win: 51.5%Libertadores: 100.0% | 4 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-08-20 | Olimpia | 1 - 4 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | |
| 2026-08-16 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 3 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 9.0%Sulamericana: 88.8% |
| 2026-08-13 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 0 | Olimpia | |
| 2026-08-09 | | Bahia#7Libertadores: 13.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.6%Sulamericana: 48.5% | 0 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fluminense#5Libertadores: 24.1%Pre-Libertadores: 48.3%Sulamericana: 27.6% | 1 - 3 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-08-01 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#5Libertadores: 24.1%Pre-Libertadores: 48.3%Sulamericana: 27.6% |
| 2026-07-25 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 1 |  Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 15.1% |
| 2026-07-16 | | Vitória#13Sulamericana: 34.5%Releg: 8.0% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 1 | Atlético-MG#6Libertadores: 28.9%Pre-Libertadores: 43.9%Sulamericana: 27.2% |
| 2026-05-24 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 3 | Bragantino#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 75.6%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Internacional#16Sulamericana: 9.8%Releg: 35.1% | 4 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 2 | Paysandu |
| 2026-05-10 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 0 | Athletico-PR#4Libertadores: 65.9%Pre-Libertadores: 29.2%Sulamericana: 4.9% |
| 2026-05-03 | | Flamengo#2Win: 48.5%Libertadores: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 3.0%Releg: 60.7% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-04-21 | | Paysandu | 0 - 2 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 1 | São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 88.9% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Remo#19Releg: 99.4% | 1 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-04-04 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 2 | Botafogo#11Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 47.3%Releg: 3.5% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Coritiba#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 60.3%Releg: 2.8% | 1 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 2.1%Releg: 71.4% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 3 - 2 | Fluminense#5Libertadores: 24.1%Pre-Libertadores: 48.3%Sulamericana: 27.6% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 66.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.8%Sulamericana: 6.3% | 3 - 3 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 2 - 1 | Palmeiras#1Win: 51.5%Libertadores: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | | Santos#8Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 9.0%Sulamericana: 88.8% | 2 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#7Libertadores: 13.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.6%Sulamericana: 48.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% | 1 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-29 | | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 15.1% | 2 - 1 | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 54.0%Releg: 3.4% |