
Sport Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Sport are an outside contender for promotion, with a 8.6% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.2% |
| Promotion | 8.6% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Sport are currently 7th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 32 matches played (13W 11D 8L, 50 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 8.6%, Sport are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Sport's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Sport's probability of promotion has climbed from 3.1% to 8.6%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Sport achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 90.6% |
| Juventude | 84.9% |
| Novorizontino | 64.1% |
| Criciúma | 50.4% |
| Fortaleza | 46.2% |
| Atlético-GO | 37.5% |
| CRB | 9.0% |
| Operário-PR | 6.6% |
| Cuiabá | 1.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.