Vila Nova Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Vila Nova are the clear favourite for promotion with a 90.9% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 43.2% |
| Promotion | 90.9% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Vila Nova are currently 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (17W 6D 8L, 57 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 90.9%, Vila Nova are currently a strong contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vila Nova's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Vila Nova's probability of promotion has climbed from 86% to 90.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vila Nova achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 85.5% |
| Novorizontino | 64.7% |
| Criciúma | 51.1% |
| Fortaleza | 46.7% |
| Atlético-GO | 37.9% |
| CRB | 9.1% |
| Operário-PR | 6.7% |
| Sport | 4.2% |
| Cuiabá | 1.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.