Athletic Club Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Athletic Club face long odds for relegation, with only a 1.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 2.5% |
| Promotion | 21.5% |
| Relegation | 1.4% |
Athletic Club are currently 8th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (8W 10D 4L, 34 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 1.4%, Athletic Club are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletic Club's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Athletic Club's probability of relegation has dropped from 3.7% to 1.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletic Club achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.2% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.8% |
| Novorizontino | 1.1% |
| CRB | 1.7% |
| Goiás | 2.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.