Avaí Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Avaí remain in realistic contention for relegation at 45.3%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.3% |
| Relegation | 45.3% |
Avaí are currently 17th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (6W 5D 11L, 23 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 45.3%, Avaí are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Avaí's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Avaí's probability of relegation has dropped from 50.6% to 45.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Avaí achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.1% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.7% |
| Novorizontino | 1.0% |
| Athletic Club | 1.3% |
| CRB | 1.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.