Avaí Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Avaí remain in realistic contention for relegation at 47.3%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.3% |
| Relegation | 47.3% |
Avaí are currently 17th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (6W 5D 11L, 23 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 47.3%, Avaí are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Avaí's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Avaí's probability of relegation has dropped from 51.8% to 47.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Avaí achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.2% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.8% |
| Novorizontino | 1.1% |
| Athletic Club | 1.4% |
| CRB | 1.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.