
Avaí Winner Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Avaí face long odds for winning the title, with only a 4.2% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 4.2% |
| Promotion | 18.7% |
| Relegation | 18.5% |
Avaí are currently 12th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 6 matches played (2W 2D 2L, 8 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 4.2%, Avaí are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Avaí's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Avaí achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Winner odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 11.6% |
| Fortaleza | 9.0% |
| São Bernardo | 7.5% |
| Criciúma | 7.4% |
| Juventude | 7.4% |
| Ceará | 6.8% |
| Sport | 6.8% |
| Náutico | 5.5% |
| Operário-PR | 5.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.